A vigorous tropical wave over Central America lifted northwards into the extreme southwest Caribbean. It then traveled west-northwestward into the Bay of Honduras where is organized into Tropical Depression 2. TD2 then quickly moved inland in Belize with 35mph winds, but heavy rain was its biggest threat.
Today, TD2 crossed the Yucatan Peninsula and emerged into the Bay of Campeche. Hurricane Hunter aircraft made their scheduled investigation of the cyclone and found that it had organized enough and had strong enough winds to be called a tropical storm and so the National Hurricane Center named it Tropical Storm Barry in a special update at 3:45pm Bermuda time.
This tropical storm is not a threat to Bermuda based on its current location and forecast track. Barry has max sustained winds of 45mph (as of the 11pm Eastern advisory from the NHC) and is about to make a landfall in Mexico just north of the city of Veracruz where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect. Because the storm only has a limited time over water, further significant strengthening is not expected. There is room for a very small increase in intensity before landfall, but Barry’s main threat will continue to be heavy rainfall (locally up to 10inches are expected) that could lead to flash flooding and mudslides – especially in hilly or mountainous terrain.
Stay tuned to local products (eg. Servicio Meteorológico National) and to the National Hurricane Center for the latest official advisories, warnings, and forecasts on all Atlantic and East Pacific Tropical Cyclones. Additionally, the Bermuda Weather Service is the official source for all things Bermuda Weather, including Bermuda specific tropical products on all tropical cyclones in the Atlantic.
Typical summer weather is expected to continue in Bermuda with the dominance of the Bermuda-Azores high occasionally tainted by areas of convergence and the local Morgan’s cloud phenomena that could produce some isolated showers over the next few days. Convergence and therefore shower activity may be enhanced as a front approaches but does not cross the island later this week.