Edouard becomes a Hurricane

201409141445UTC RGB Edouard
RGB enhanced visible satellite for Hurricane Edouard in the central Atlantic as the cyclone continues to strengthen and track northwestward.

Tropical Storm Edouard this morning strengthened into a category one hurricane with maximum 1-minute sustained winds near 80mph at 12pm Bermuda time. Edouard is tracking over very warm sea surface temperatures and is in an environment with low wind shear – these factors suggest that it may continue to strengthen and possibly reach major hurricane status for early next week. But dry mid level air around the cyclone is expected limit the pace and magnitude of intensification somewhat. Edouard is still expected to miss Bermuda by passing far to the east of the island. At this time, no rain or high wind associated with Edouard is expected in Bermuda. However, the trajectory does allow for some swell from Edouard to reach Bermuda, peaking on Tuesday. This may warrant small craft warning conditions with seas possibly exceeding 9ft outside the reef. NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft are currently investigating Edouard. Continued investigations into the cyclone are allowing a high level of confidence in the track and intensity forecast for this storm. (See: National Hurricane Center | Bermuda Weather Service)

Odile winds and warnings
National Hurricane Center Adv 18 wind field and warnings summary for Hurricane Odile.

Meanwhile, in the Eastern Pacific, category four Hurricane Odile is approaching Baja California Sur with max 1-minute sustained winds near 135mph. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for much of the southern half of the Baja peninsula including Cabo San Lucas. An Air Force reconnaissance mission is scheduled to investigate Odile later today to better assess this major hurricane’s intensity prior to a landfall/direct-hit somewhere in the hurricane warned area. According to NOAA’s Historical Hurricane Tracks, no major hurricanes have made a direct hit on Cabo San Lucas for their period of record and so this could be a historic event should Odile maintain its intensity or strengthen on approach. (See: National Hurricane Center | Servicio Meteorologico Nacional)


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