A weak surface trough over the Bahamas and Cuba is interacting with an upper level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. Over the next 3 – 5 days there is potential for the surface and upper level systems to align in such a way that allows the surface trough to organize and sustain deep convection and become a sub-tropical cyclone.
The area of troughiness is currently moving northwards into the southwest Atlantic. Over the next 3 – 5 days, the trough and its associated convection are expected to then track northwestward – towards the South Carolina coast. An area of convergence to the far east of this trough/sub-tropical cyclone could bring scattered shower activity to Bermuda in 3 – 5 days as a weak cold front approaches the island from the north.
In the meantime, fair weather is expected in Bermuda for the next 2-3 days. Overall, little if any noticeable impact to Bermuda is currently expected from this disturbance.